The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A1 Winner

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

32 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Belgium

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8%

Belgium

Open Polymarket ↗

France

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

48.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0%

France

Open Polymarket ↗

Italy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Croatia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Czechia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Denmark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

England

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 48.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Germany

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greece

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Netherlands

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 20.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Norway

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

13.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Portugal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Serbia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Spain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

73.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 74.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Turkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Türkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Türkiye · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Wales

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.