Market comparison
UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A4 Winner
2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 4 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $130K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗7 outcomes · $19K reported volume
Observed 5m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 2, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Denmark Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Norway Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Portugal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Wales Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Belgium Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Croatia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Czechia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
England Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
France Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Germany Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Greece Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Italy Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Netherlands Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Serbia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spain Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Turkiye Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Denmark
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Norway
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Portugal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Wales
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Belgium
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Croatia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Czechia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
England
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
France
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Germany
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Greece
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Italy
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Netherlands
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Serbia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Spain
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Turkiye
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.