The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Nations League Champion

2 venues · 89 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

103 outcomes · $59.8M reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: May 30, 2027

16 outcomes · $127K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Belgium

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.2%

Belgium

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Belgium

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Croatia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Croatia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Croatia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Czechia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Czechia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Czechia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Denmark

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8%

Denmark

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.8 pp

England

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

England

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

England

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

France

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

France

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

France

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Germany

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.9%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Greece

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 15.6%

Greece

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Greece

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.9 pp

Italy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Netherlands

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Netherlands

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Netherlands

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Norway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.4%

Norway

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Portugal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 11.1% · Ask 11.2%

Portugal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Portugal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Serbia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Serbia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Serbia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Spain

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

Spain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spain

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Wales

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Wales

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Wales

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

AEK Athens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

AEK Athens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

AGF Aarhus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.3%

AGF Aarhus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ajax

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.9%

Ajax

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Arsenal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Arsenal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Aston Villa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1%

Aston Villa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Atalanta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Atalanta

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.4%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Barcelona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayern Munich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bodø/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Bodø/Glimt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borac Banja Luka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.4%

Borac Banja Luka

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Braga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 7.8% · Ask 10.0%

Braga

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 11.4%

Brann

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brighton & Hove Albion

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

Brighton & Hove Albion

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Club Brugge

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Club Brugge

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Como

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.0%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Copenhagen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.8%

Copenhagen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

CSKA Sofia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.4%

CSKA Sofia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Egnatia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8%

Egnatia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fenerbahçe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Fenerbahçe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Feyenoord

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Feyenoord

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Galatasaray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Galatasaray

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Gent

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Getafe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.2%

Getafe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hajduk Split

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.3%

Hajduk Split

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hearts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.1%

Hearts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Iberia 1999

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9%

Iberia 1999

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.1%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jablonec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.6%

Jablonec

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kairat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.3%

Kairat

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kauno Zalgiris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8%

Kauno Zalgiris

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

KuPS Kuopio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.6%

KuPS Kuopio

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LASK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

LASK

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lille

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lincoln Red Imps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7%

Lincoln Red Imps

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liverpool

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liverpool

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lugano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.4%

Lugano

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Manchester City

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Manchester City

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Manchester United

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3%

Manchester United

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Midtjylland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.9%

Midtjylland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mjallby AIF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.6%

Mjallby AIF

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Monaco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Monaco

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Napoli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nordsjaelland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7%

Nordsjaelland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pafos FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.3%

Pafos FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Panathinaikos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.2%

Panathinaikos

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Porto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Porto

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

PSV Eindhoven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Betis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.0%

Real Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Red Star Belgrade

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.4%

Red Star Belgrade

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Riga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.4%

Riga

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Roma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sabah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Sabah

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SC Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

SC Freiburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shakhtar Donetsk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sint-Truiden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Sint-Truiden

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Slavia Prague

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Slavia Prague

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Slovan Bratislava

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sporting CP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

Sporting CP

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Thun

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.3%

Thun

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Trabzonspor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9%

Trabzonspor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Turkiye

Open Kalshi ↗

Türkiye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Türkiye · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Twente

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.0%

Twente

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Universitatea Craiova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0%

Universitatea Craiova

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Viking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Viking

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Villarreal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.