Market comparison

UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 25, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Carlos Ulberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0% Carlos Ulberg Open Polymarket ↗	27.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0% Carlos Ulberg Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Paulo Costa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 26.0% Paulo Costa Open Polymarket ↗	22.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 22.0% Paulo Costa Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alex Pereira Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% Alex Pereira Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alonzo Menifield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Alonzo Menifield Open Kalshi ↗	—
Azamat Murzakanov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Azamat Murzakanov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bogdan Guskov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Bogdan Guskov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dominick Reyes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Dominick Reyes Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fighter A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ion Cutelaba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Ion Cutelaba Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jan Błachowicz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Jan Błachowicz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jiri Prochazka Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.0% Jiri Prochazka Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jiří Procházka Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Jiří Procházka Open Kalshi ↗	—
Khalil Rountree Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Khalil Rountree Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Modestas Bukauskas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Modestas Bukauskas Open Kalshi ↗	—
Muhammad Saidov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Muhammad Saidov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Navajo Stirling Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Navajo Stirling Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nikita Krylov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Nikita Krylov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Oumar Sy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Oumar Sy Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reinier de Ridder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Reinier de Ridder Open Kalshi ↗	—
Robert Whittaker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Robert Whittaker Open Kalshi ↗	—

Carlos Ulberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0%

Carlos Ulberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0%

Carlos Ulberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Paulo Costa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 26.0%

Paulo Costa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 22.0%

Paulo Costa

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Open Kalshi ↗

Alex Pereira

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

Alex Pereira

Open Kalshi ↗

Alonzo Menifield

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Alonzo Menifield

Open Kalshi ↗

Azamat Murzakanov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Azamat Murzakanov

Open Kalshi ↗

Bogdan Guskov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Bogdan Guskov

Open Kalshi ↗

Dominick Reyes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Dominick Reyes

Open Kalshi ↗

Fighter A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ion Cutelaba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Ion Cutelaba

Open Kalshi ↗

Jan Błachowicz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Jan Błachowicz

Open Kalshi ↗

Jiri Prochazka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.0%

Jiri Prochazka

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jiří Procházka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0%

Jiří Procházka

Open Kalshi ↗

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Modestas Bukauskas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Modestas Bukauskas

Open Kalshi ↗

Muhammad Saidov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Muhammad Saidov

Open Kalshi ↗

Navajo Stirling

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Navajo Stirling

Open Kalshi ↗

Nikita Krylov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Nikita Krylov

Open Kalshi ↗

Oumar Sy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Oumar Sy

Open Kalshi ↗

Reinier de Ridder

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Reinier de Ridder

Open Kalshi ↗

Robert Whittaker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Robert Whittaker

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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