Market comparison

UK social media ban in effect by…?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for UK social media ban in effect by…?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 60.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 79.0% Before Aug 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0% Yes Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 60.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 79.0%

Before Aug 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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