Market comparison
United States Grand Prix Main Race Winner
2 venues · 29 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗22 outcomes · $145K reported volume
Observed 28s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 2, 2026
Polymarket
Open venue ↗81 outcomes · $16K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 1m ago
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alexander Albon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Arvid Lindblad Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Carlos Sainz Jr. Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Charles Leclerc Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Esteban Ocon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Fernando Alonso Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Franco Colapinto Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Gabriel Bortoleto Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
George Russell Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Isack Hadjar Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Lance Stroll Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Lando Norris Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Lewis Hamilton Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Liam Lawson Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Max Verstappen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Nico Hulkenberg Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Oliver Bearman Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Oscar Piastri Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Pierre Gasly Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Sergio Perez Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Valtteri Bottas Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Andrea Kimi Antonelli Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver A Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kimi Antonelli Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yuki Tsunoda Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alexander Albon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Arvid Lindblad
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Charles Leclerc
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Esteban Ocon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Fernando Alonso
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Franco Colapinto
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Gabriel Bortoleto
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
George Russell
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Isack Hadjar
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Lance Stroll
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Lando Norris
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Lewis Hamilton
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Liam Lawson
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Max Verstappen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Nico Hulkenberg
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Oliver Bearman
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Oscar Piastri
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Pierre Gasly
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Sergio Perez
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Valtteri Bottas
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Driver A
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Driver B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Driver C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Driver D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Driver E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Kimi Antonelli
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Yuki Tsunoda
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.