Market comparison

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $264K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
August 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4% August 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗ 50.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 45.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗ 37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗ 50.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 59.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗ 23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 70.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.9% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

August 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4%

August 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

50.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 45.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 59.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 70.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.9%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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