Market comparison
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $12K reported volume
Observed 5m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗11 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 12s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 29, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
5–15% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
5% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
15–25% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
25–35% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
35%+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 3% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 4% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 5% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 6% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 7% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 8% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 9% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 10% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 11% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 12% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 13% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
5–15%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
5%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
15–25%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
25–35%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
35%+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Above 3%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 4%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 5%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 6%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 7%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 8%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 9%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 10%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 11%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 12%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 13%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.