Market comparison

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

5 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume

Observed 4944h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Mar 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
5–15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 5–15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old <5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
15–25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 15–25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
25–35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 25–35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

5–15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

5–15%

Open Polymarket ↗

5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

<5%

Open Polymarket ↗

15–25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

15–25%

Open Polymarket ↗

25–35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

25–35%

Open Polymarket ↗

35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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