The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

15 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

≤3.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.4%

4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

4.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

4.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0%

4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.4%

4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8%

≥4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 3.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 3.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.0%

Above 4.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 80.0%

Above 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

Above 5.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 60.0%

Above 5.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 50.0%

Above 6.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

Above 6.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 30.0%

Above 7.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Above 7.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 8.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 8.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 9.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 9.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 10.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above 10.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.