Market comparison

UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026

1 venue · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

16 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 4947h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Mar 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Above 3.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.30% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.40% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.50% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.60% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.70% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.80% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 3.90% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.00% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.10% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.20% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.30% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.40% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.50% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.60% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.70% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 4.80% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above 3.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.30% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.40% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.50% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.60% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.70% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.80% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 3.90% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.00% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.10% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.20% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.30% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.40% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.50% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.60% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.70% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 4.80% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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