Market comparison

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.4% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 6.6% · Ask 12.7% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 3.6% · Ask 9.9% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.8% Bid 20.3% · Ask 21.3% Democrat 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McAdams, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.5% Bid 93.1% · Ask 97.9% McAdams, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.8% Bid 91.8% · Ask 97.8% McAdams, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.7% Bid 90.1% · Ask 97.8% McAdams, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.2% McAdams, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% McAdams, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% McAdams, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0% McAdams, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% McAdams, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% McAdams, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
McAdams, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.1% Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0% McAdams, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.4% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 12.7%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 9.9%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.8%

Bid 20.3% · Ask 21.3%

Democrat 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McAdams, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.5%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 97.9%

McAdams, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.8%

Bid 91.8% · Ask 97.8%

McAdams, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.7%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 97.8%

McAdams, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.2%

McAdams, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

McAdams, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

McAdams, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0%

McAdams, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

McAdams, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

McAdams, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

McAdams, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.1%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0%

McAdams, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.4%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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