Market comparison

VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.9% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.8% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.8% Bid 19.2% · Ask 30.4% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.8% Bid 18.3% · Ask 19.2% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Scott, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.7% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.4% Scott, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 93.9% · Ask 99.4% Scott, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.5% Bid 93.5% · Ask 99.4% Scott, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 92.6% · Ask 99.5% Scott, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.9% Bid 90.4% · Ask 99.4% Scott, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.7% Scott, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% Scott, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0% Scott, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0% Scott, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Scott, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Scott, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Scott, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.1% Scott, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4% Scott, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.9%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.8%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.8%

Bid 19.2% · Ask 30.4%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.8%

Bid 18.3% · Ask 19.2%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Scott, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.7%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.4%

Scott, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 99.4%

Scott, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.5%

Bid 93.5% · Ask 99.4%

Scott, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.6%

Bid 92.6% · Ask 99.5%

Scott, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.9%

Bid 90.4% · Ask 99.4%

Scott, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.7%

Scott, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

Scott, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0%

Scott, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0%

Scott, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Scott, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Scott, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0%

Scott, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.1%

Scott, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4%

Scott, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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