Market comparison

VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Griffith, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.2% Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.1% Griffith, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.9% Griffith, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0% Griffith, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Griffith, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0% Griffith, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0% Griffith, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Griffith, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0% Griffith, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 4.5% · Ask 16.0% Griffith, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 12.0% Griffith, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Griffith, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Griffith, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Griffith, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1% Republican 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.9% Republican 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 15.2% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 18.9% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.9% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 17.0% Republican 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Griffith, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.2%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.1%

Griffith, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.9%

Griffith, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0%

Griffith, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Griffith, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0%

Griffith, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Griffith, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Griffith, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0%

Griffith, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 16.0%

Griffith, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 12.0%

Griffith, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Griffith, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Griffith, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Griffith, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.9%

Republican 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 15.2%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 18.9%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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