The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

FunPlus Phoenix

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0%

FunPlus Phoenix

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Dragon Ranger Gaming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%

Dragon Ranger Gaming

Open Kalshi ↗

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 51.0%

Map 1 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 70.0%

Map 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 99.0%

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid — · Ask 50.0%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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