Market comparison
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗43 outcomes · $418K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗8 outcomes · $37K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Delcy Rodríguez Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Jorge Rodríguez Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
María Corina Machado Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Nicolás Maduro Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Vladimir Padrino López Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Dan Caine Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dinorah Figuera Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Diosdado Cabello Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Diosdado Cabello Rondón Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Donald Trump Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Edmundo González Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Edmundo González Urrutia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Evan Pettus Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Frank Donovan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Gustavo González López Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Marco Rubio Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
No Head of State Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pete Hegseth Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Richard Grenell Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Delcy Rodríguez
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Jorge Rodríguez
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
María Corina Machado
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Nicolás Maduro
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Vladimir Padrino López
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Dan Caine
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Dinorah Figuera
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Diosdado Cabello
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Donald Trump
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Edmundo González
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Edmundo González Urrutia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Evan Pettus
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Frank Donovan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Gustavo González López
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Marco Rubio
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
No Head of State
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Pete Hegseth
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Richard Grenell
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.