Market comparison

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

2 venues · 59 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

57 outcomes · $98.7M reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $37K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Delcy Rodríguez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Delcy Rodríguez Open Polymarket ↗	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 96.0% Delcy Rodríguez Open Kalshi ↗	74.0 pp
Jorge Rodríguez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Jorge Rodríguez Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Jorge Rodríguez Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
María Corina Machado Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% María Corina Machado Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% María Corina Machado Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Nicolás Maduro Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	76.6% Bid 76.1% · Ask 77.2% Nicolás Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Nicolás Maduro Open Kalshi ↗	71.6 pp
Vladimir Padrino López Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Vladimir Padrino López Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Vladimir Padrino López Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
Dan Caine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dan Caine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dinorah Figuera Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dinorah Figuera Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Diosdado Cabello Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Diosdado Cabello Open Kalshi ↗	—
Diosdado Cabello Rondón Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Diosdado Cabello Rondón Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Edmundo González Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Edmundo González Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Edmundo González Urrutia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Edmundo González Urrutia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Evan Pettus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Evan Pettus Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Frank Donovan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Frank Donovan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gustavo González López Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gustavo González López Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leader 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 1 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 13 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 18 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 19 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 20 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 22 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 23 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 24 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 25 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 26 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 27 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 29 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 32 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 32 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 33 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 33 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 34 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 34 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 35 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 35 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 36 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 36 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 37 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 37 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 38 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 38 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 39 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 39 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leader 40 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Leader 40 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
No Head of State Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.2% No Head of State Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Richard Grenell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Richard Grenell Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Delcy Rodríguez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Delcy Rodríguez

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Delcy Rodríguez

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jorge Rodríguez

Polymarket

Kalshi

María Corina Machado

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nicolás Maduro

Polymarket

Kalshi

Vladimir Padrino López

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dan Caine

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dinorah Figuera

Polymarket

Kalshi

Diosdado Cabello

Polymarket

Kalshi

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

Polymarket

Kalshi

Donald Trump

Polymarket

Kalshi

Edmundo González

Polymarket

Kalshi

Edmundo González Urrutia

Polymarket

Kalshi

Evan Pettus

Polymarket

Kalshi

Frank Donovan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gustavo González López

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 1

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 2

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 3

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 4

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 5

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 6

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 7

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 8

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 9

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 10

Polymarket

Kalshi

Leader 11

Polymarket