The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

15 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.5%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republicans, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0%

Republicans, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0%

Republicans, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Republicans, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republicans, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republicans, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.9%

Republicans, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.1%

Republicans, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.1%

Republicans, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.2%

Republicans, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.1%

Republicans, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.1%

Republicans, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Republicans, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republicans, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republicans, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republicans, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republicans, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.