Market comparison

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Greens Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Greens Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Greens Open Kalshi ↗	17.0 pp
Labor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Labor Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Labor Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
One Nation Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 7.4% · Ask 9.5% One Nation Open Polymarket ↗	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 68.0% One Nation Open Kalshi ↗	50.5 pp
Liberal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Liberal Open Kalshi ↗	—
Liberal–National Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0% Liberal–National Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nationals Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Nationals Open Kalshi ↗	—
Victorian Socialists Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Victorian Socialists Open Kalshi ↗	—

Greens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Greens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 17.0 pp

Labor

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Labor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Labor

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

One Nation

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 9.5%

One Nation

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 68.0%

One Nation

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 50.5 pp

Liberal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Liberal

Open Kalshi ↗

Liberal–National

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0%

Liberal–National

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nationals

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Nationals

Open Kalshi ↗

Victorian Socialists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Victorian Socialists

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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