Market comparison

Virginia's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Virginia's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.1% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.9% Bid 13.9% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.6% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Subramanyam, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.7% Subramanyam, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.3% Subramanyam, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Subramanyam, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Subramanyam, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Subramanyam, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Subramanyam, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Subramanyam, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.4% Bid 6.9% · Ask 18.0% Subramanyam, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Subramanyam, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0% Subramanyam, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.1%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.9%

Bid 13.9% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.6%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Subramanyam, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.7%

Subramanyam, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.3%

Subramanyam, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0%

Subramanyam, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Subramanyam, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Subramanyam, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Subramanyam, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Subramanyam, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.4%

Bid 6.9% · Ask 18.0%

Subramanyam, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Subramanyam, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0%

Subramanyam, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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