Market comparison

Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 36.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 16.8% · Ask 20.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.3% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.6% Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.2% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.9% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Taylor, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 61.0% Taylor, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Taylor, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Taylor, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0% Taylor, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Taylor, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9% Taylor, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taylor, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Taylor, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wittman, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0% Wittman, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wittman, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Wittman, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wittman, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0% Wittman, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wittman, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0% Wittman, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 36.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 16.8% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.2%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Taylor, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 61.0%

Taylor, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Taylor, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Taylor, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0%

Taylor, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Taylor, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9%

Taylor, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Taylor, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Taylor, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wittman, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Wittman, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wittman, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Wittman, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wittman, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0%

Wittman, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wittman, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0%

Wittman, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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