Market comparison

Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 3.9% · Ask 9.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.8% Bid 20.8% · Ask 26.7% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.1% Bid 3.5% · Ask 20.7% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kiggans, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 2.4% · Ask 11.0% Kiggans, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kiggans, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1% Kiggans, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 85.0% Luria, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Luria, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Luria, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0% Luria, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.1% Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0% Luria, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Luria, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luria, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.5% Luria, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.0% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 9.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.8%

Bid 20.8% · Ask 26.7%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.1%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 20.7%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kiggans, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 11.0%

Kiggans, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Kiggans, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1%

Kiggans, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 85.0%

Luria, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Luria, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Luria, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0%

Luria, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.1%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0%

Luria, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Luria, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luria, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.5%

Luria, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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