Market comparison

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.3% Bid 1.7% · Ask 32.9% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
McGuire, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% McGuire, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0% Perriello, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 9.1% · Ask 18.0% Perriello, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.7% Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0% Perriello, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.8% Perriello, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Perriello, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Perriello, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perriello, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Perriello, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 15.1% · Ask 83.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 3.2% · Ask 78.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.6% Bid 2.8% · Ask 56.5% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 80.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 67.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 69.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.3%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 32.9%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

McGuire, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

McGuire, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0%

Perriello, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 18.0%

Perriello, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Perriello, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.8%

Perriello, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Perriello, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Perriello, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perriello, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Perriello, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 83.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 78.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.6%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 56.5%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 80.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 67.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 69.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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