Market comparison

Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 19, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 19, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8% <1% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1% to 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% 1% to 2.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.5% to 4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 52.0% 2.5% to 4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4% to 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.3% Bid 35.5% · Ask 55.0% 4% to 5.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% 5.5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 2.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.0% Above 2.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0% Above 3.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% Above 3.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Above 3.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 39.0% Above 3.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0% Above 3% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Above 4.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Above 4.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0% Above 4.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 15.0% Above 4.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0% Above 4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 5% Open Kalshi ↗	—

1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8%

<1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1% to 2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

1% to 2.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.5% to 4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 52.0%

2.5% to 4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4% to 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.3%

Bid 35.5% · Ask 55.0%

4% to 5.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

5.5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 2.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.0%

Above 2.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

Above 3.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0%

Above 3.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Above 3.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 39.0%

Above 3.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0%

Above 3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above 4.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Above 4.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0%

Above 4.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 15.0%

Above 4.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0%

Above 4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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