Market comparison

Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Chloe Foster Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	33.5% Bid 24.7% · Ask 42.3% Chloe Foster Open Polymarket ↗	38.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0% Chloe Foster Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Dillon Roberts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Dillon Roberts Open Polymarket ↗	32.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 32.0% Dillon Roberts Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Kevin Hyland Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2% Kevin Hyland Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Kevin Hyland Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Leanne Raw Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Leanne Raw Open Polymarket ↗	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Leanne Raw Open Kalshi ↗	4.0 pp
Mary Duniam Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5% Mary Duniam Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Mary Duniam Open Kalshi ↗	2.7 pp
Michael Johnstone Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Michael Johnstone Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0% Michael Johnstone Open Kalshi ↗	10.5 pp

Chloe Foster

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 24.7% · Ask 42.3%

Chloe Foster

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

Chloe Foster

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Dillon Roberts

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Dillon Roberts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 32.0%

Dillon Roberts

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Kevin Hyland

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Kevin Hyland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Kevin Hyland

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Leanne Raw

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Leanne Raw

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Leanne Raw

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Mary Duniam

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Mary Duniam

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Mary Duniam

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Michael Johnstone

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Michael Johnstone

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0%

Michael Johnstone

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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