Market comparison

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for West Virginia Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Capito, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.4% Capito, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.4% Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.4% Capito, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0% Capito, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 80.0% Capito, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Capito, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 59.0% Capito, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Capito, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Capito, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Capito, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 4.9% · Ask 15.0% Capito, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Capito, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 6.2% · Ask 9.9% Capito, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 4.5% · Ask 4.7% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.8% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.4% Bid 8.0% · Ask 8.8% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Capito, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.4%

Capito, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.4%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 91.4%

Capito, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0%

Capito, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 80.0%

Capito, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Capito, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 59.0%

Capito, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0%

Capito, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Capito, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Capito, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 15.0%

Capito, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Capito, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 9.9%

Capito, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 4.7%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.8%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.4%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 8.8%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets