Market comparison

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

28 outcomes · $42.7M reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $889K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
19,999.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% 19,999.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
20,000 to 24,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% 20,000 to 24,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
25,000 to 29,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% 25,000 to 29,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
30,000 to 34,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% 30,000 to 34,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
35,000 to 39,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% 35,000 to 39,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
40,000 to 44,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% 40,000 to 44,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
45,000 to 49,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.0% 45,000 to 49,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
50,000 to 54,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.2% 50,000 to 54,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
55,000 to 59,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.0% 55,000 to 59,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
60,000 to 64,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.7% · Ask 3.8% 60,000 to 64,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
65,000 to 69,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.6% 65,000 to 69,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
68,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% ↓ 68,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
70,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% ↓ 70,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
70,000 to 74,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.4% Bid 9.9% · Ask 10.4% 70,000 to 74,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
72,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0% ↓ 72,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
74,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.8% ↓ 74,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
75,000 to 79,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.2% Bid 14.1% · Ask 14.2% 75,000 to 79,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
76,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.9% ↓ 76,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
78,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.3% Bid 14.0% · Ask 14.7% ↓ 78,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
80,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0% ↓ 80,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
80,000 to 84,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.9% Bid 13.7% · Ask 13.9% 80,000 to 84,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
82,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 82,000 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 82,000 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 77.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% ↑ 82,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
84,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 84,000 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84,000 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% ↑ 84,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
85,000 to 89,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.6% Bid 12.5% · Ask 12.6% 85,000 to 89,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
86,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% ↑ 86,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
88,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4% ↑ 88,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
90,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4% ↑ 90,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
90,000 to 94,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.3% Bid 10.1% · Ask 10.3% 90,000 to 94,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
92,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7% ↑ 92,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
94,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% ↑ 94,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
95,000 to 99,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.2% Bid 7.2% · Ask 7.3% 95,000 to 99,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
96,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% ↑ 96,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
100,000 to 104,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 4.6% · Ask 4.7% 100,000 to 104,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
105,000 to 109,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4% 105,000 to 109,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
110,000 to 114,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1% 110,000 to 114,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
115,000 to 119,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3% 115,000 to 119,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
120,000 to 124,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1% 120,000 to 124,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
125,000 to 129,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% 125,000 to 129,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
130,000 to 134,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6% 130,000 to 134,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
135,000 to 139,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% 135,000 to 139,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
140,000 to 144,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% 140,000 to 144,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
145,000 to 149,999.99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% 145,000 to 149,999.99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
150,000 or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% 150,000 or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

19,999.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

19,999.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

20,000 to 24,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

20,000 to 24,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

25,000 to 29,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

25,000 to 29,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

30,000 to 34,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

30,000 to 34,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

35,000 to 39,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7%

35,000 to 39,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

40,000 to 44,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7%

40,000 to 44,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

45,000 to 49,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.0%

45,000 to 49,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

50,000 to 54,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.2%

50,000 to 54,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

55,000 to 59,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.0%

55,000 to 59,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

60,000 to 64,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 3.8%

60,000 to 64,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

65,000 to 69,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.6%

65,000 to 69,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

68,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

↓ 68,000

Open Polymarket ↗

70,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

↓ 70,000

Open Polymarket ↗

70,000 to 74,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.4%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 10.4%

70,000 to 74,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

72,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0%

↓ 72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

74,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.8%

↓ 74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

75,000 to 79,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.2%

Bid 14.1% · Ask 14.2%

75,000 to 79,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

76,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.9%

↓ 76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

78,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.3%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 14.7%

↓ 78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

↓ 80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000 to 84,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.9%

Bid 13.7% · Ask 13.9%

80,000 to 84,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

82,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 82,000 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 82,000 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

77.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

↑ 82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

84,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 84,000 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84,000 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

↑ 84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

85,000 to 89,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.6%

Bid 12.5% · Ask 12.6%

85,000 to 89,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

86,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

↑ 86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

88,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4%

↑ 88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4%

↑ 90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000 to 94,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.3%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 10.3%

90,000 to 94,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

92,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7%

↑ 92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

94,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

↑ 94,000

Open Polymarket ↗

95,000 to 99,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 7.3%

95,000 to 99,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

96,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

↑ 96,000

Open Polymarket ↗

100,000 to 104,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 4.7%

100,000 to 104,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

105,000 to 109,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

105,000 to 109,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

110,000 to 114,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1%

110,000 to 114,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

115,000 to 119,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3%

115,000 to 119,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

120,000 to 124,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1%

120,000 to 124,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

125,000 to 129,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9%

125,000 to 129,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

130,000 to 134,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6%

130,000 to 134,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

135,000 to 139,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

135,000 to 139,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

140,000 to 144,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

140,000 to 144,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

145,000 to 149,999.99

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

145,000 to 149,999.99

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

150,000 or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9%

150,000 or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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