Market comparison

What price will BNB hit in October?

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $33K reported volume

Observed 12s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What price will BNB hit in October?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
↑ 900 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $900.00 Open Kalshi ↗	26.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 49.0% ↑ 900 Open Polymarket ↗	20.0 pp
↓ 600 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $600.00 Open Kalshi ↗	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% ↓ 600 Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
↓ 700 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	40.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0% Below $700.00 Open Kalshi ↗	32.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 45.0% ↓ 700 Open Polymarket ↗	7.5 pp
1,000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.0% ↑ 1,000 Open Polymarket ↗	—
1,100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% ↑ 1,100 Open Polymarket ↗	—
1,200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% ↑ 1,200 Open Polymarket ↗	—
300 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% ↓ 300 Open Polymarket ↗	—
400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% ↓ 400 Open Polymarket ↗	—
500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.5% ↓ 500 Open Polymarket ↗	—
800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 800 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 24.0% ↑ 800 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above $800.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $800.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $810.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 58.0% Above $810.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $820.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $820.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $830.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 75.0% Above $830.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $840.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $840.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $850.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $850.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $860.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $860.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $870.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $870.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $880.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $880.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $890.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $890.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $910.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $910.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $920.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $920.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $930.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $930.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $940.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $940.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $950.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Above $950.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $960.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $960.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above $970.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0% Above $970.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $580.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Below $580.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $590.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $590.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $610.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $610.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $620.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Below $620.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $630.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Below $630.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $640.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Below $640.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $650.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0% Below $650.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $660.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 16.0% Below $660.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $670.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Below $670.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $680.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0% Below $680.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $690.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Below $690.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $710.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $710.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $720.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $720.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $730.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $730.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $740.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $740.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below $750.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $750.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

↑ 900

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $900.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 49.0%

↑ 900

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 20.0 pp

↓ 600

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $600.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

↓ 600

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

↓ 700

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0%

Below $700.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 45.0%

↓ 700

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 7.5 pp

1,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.0%

↑ 1,000

Open Polymarket ↗

1,100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

↑ 1,100

Open Polymarket ↗

1,200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

↑ 1,200

Open Polymarket ↗

300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

↓ 300

Open Polymarket ↗

400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

↓ 400

Open Polymarket ↗

500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.5%

↓ 500

Open Polymarket ↗

800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 800 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

15.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 24.0%

↑ 800

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $800.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $800.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $810.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 58.0%

Above $810.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $820.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $820.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $830.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 75.0%

Above $830.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $840.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $840.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $850.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $850.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $860.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $860.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $870.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $870.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $880.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $880.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $890.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $890.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $910.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $910.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $920.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $920.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $930.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $930.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $940.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $940.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $950.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $950.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $960.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above $960.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $970.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Above $970.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $580.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $580.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $590.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $590.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $610.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $610.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $620.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $620.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $630.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Below $630.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $640.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Below $640.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $650.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

Below $650.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $660.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 16.0%

Below $660.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $670.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Below $670.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $680.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0%

Below $680.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $690.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Below $690.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $710.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $710.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $720.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $720.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $730.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $730.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $740.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $740.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $750.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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