The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

14 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

↓ 0.02

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.6%

↓ 0.02

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $0.02

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

↓ 0.06

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 56.0%

↓ 0.06

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0%

Below $0.06

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 15.5 pp

0.10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 0.10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 0.14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 9.4%

↑ 0.16

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

↑ 0.20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

↑ 0.24

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.9%

↑ 0.28

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.2%

↑ 0.32

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.36

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 3.2%

↑ 0.36

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.6%

↑ 0.40

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.44

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.5%

↑ 0.44

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.48

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.4%

↑ 0.48

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.52

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.1%

↑ 0.52

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $0.08

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $0.08 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.09

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $0.09 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $0.10 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $0.11

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 23.0%

Above $0.12

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above $0.13

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

Above $0.14

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above $0.15

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.01

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $0.01

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.03

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $0.03

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $0.04

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.05

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

Below $0.05

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.