Market comparison
What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗14 outcomes · $130K reported volume
Observed 34s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗14 outcomes · $26K reported volume
Observed 34s ago
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
- Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
- Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
↓ 0.02 Resolution sources differDo not treat this price difference as directly comparable. | 0.6 pp | ||
↓ 0.06 Resolution sources differDo not treat this price difference as directly comparable. | 15.5 pp | ||
0.10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.20 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.24 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.28 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.32 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.36 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.40 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.44 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.48 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
0.52 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.08 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.09 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.11 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.12 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.13 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above $0.15 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Below $0.01 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Below $0.03 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Below $0.04 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Below $0.05 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
↓ 0.02
Resolution sources differDo not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
↓ 0.06
Resolution sources differDo not treat this price difference as directly comparable.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 15.5 pp
0.10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.20
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.24
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.28
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.32
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.36
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.40
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.44
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.48
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
0.52
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Above $0.08
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.09
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.11
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.12
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.13
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above $0.15
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Below $0.01
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Below $0.03
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Below $0.04
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Below $0.05
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.