Market comparison

What price will Dogecoin hit in October?

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $36K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What price will Dogecoin hit in October?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
↑ 0.1 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% ↑ 0.10 Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Above $0.10 Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
↑ 0.15 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7% ↑ 0.15 Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Above $0.15 Open Kalshi ↗	2.9 pp
↓ 0.05 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	4.9% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.4% ↓ 0.05 Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $0.05 Open Kalshi ↗	1.1 pp
0.20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% ↑ 0.20 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above $0.11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $0.11 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $0.12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $0.12 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $0.13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Above $0.13 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $0.14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Above $0.14 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $0.16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Above $0.16 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $0.17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Above $0.17 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.02 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Below $0.02 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.03 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Below $0.03 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.04 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $0.04 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.06 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $0.06 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.07 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Below $0.07 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.08 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $0.08 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $0.09 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $0.09 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

↑ 0.1

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

↑ 0.10

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above $0.10

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

↑ 0.15

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7%

↑ 0.15

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above $0.15

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

↓ 0.05

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.4%

↓ 0.05

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $0.05

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

0.20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

↑ 0.20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $0.11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $0.11

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $0.12

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above $0.13

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above $0.14

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above $0.16

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $0.17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above $0.17

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.02

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Below $0.02

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.03

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Below $0.03

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $0.04

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.06

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $0.06

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.07

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Below $0.07

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.08

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $0.08 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $0.09

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $0.09 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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