The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

15 outcomes · $3.3M reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $199K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

1.25–$1.50T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 9.9%

$1.25–$1.50T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.25T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.1%

<$1.25T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.50–$1.75T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

51.1%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.3%

$1.50–$1.75T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.75–$2.00T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 33.0%

$1.75–$2.00T

Open Polymarket ↗

2.00–$2.25T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 8.3%

$2.00–$2.25T

Open Polymarket ↗

2.25–$2.50T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.5%

$2.25–$2.50T

Open Polymarket ↗

2.50T+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

$2.50T+

Open Polymarket ↗

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Feb 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before Jul 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Mar 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0%

Before Mar 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 16, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Before Nov 16, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 10, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 10, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 17, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 17, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 24, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before Oct 24, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Sep 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No IPO by December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.3%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.