Market comparison

What will OpenAI say during their livestream?

1 venue · 14 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

14 outcomes · $123K reported volume

Observed 4451h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 6, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will OpenAI say during their livestream?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Agent / Agentic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Agent / Agentic · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
AGI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old AGI · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Claude / Anthropic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Claude / Anthropic · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Code / Coding Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Code / Coding · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Codex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Codex · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
DALL-E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old DALL-E · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elon / Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Elon / Musk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Event does not qualify Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Event does not qualify · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
IPO / Public Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old IPO / Public · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
LLM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old LLM · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Safe / Safer / Safety Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Safe / Safer / Safety · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sora Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sora · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Spud · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Trump · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Agent / Agentic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Agent / Agentic · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

AGI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

AGI · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Claude / Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Claude / Anthropic · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Code / Coding

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Code / Coding · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Codex

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Codex · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

DALL-E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

DALL-E · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Elon / Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Elon / Musk · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Event does not qualify

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Event does not qualify · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

IPO / Public

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

IPO / Public · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

LLM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

LLM · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Safe / Safer / Safety

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Safe / Safer / Safety · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sora

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sora · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Spud

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Spud · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Trump · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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