Market comparison

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

1 venue · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

24 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 4232h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Anthropic / Claude Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Anthropic / Claude Open Polymarket ↗	—
Artificial Intelligence / AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Artificial Intelligence / AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bitcoin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Bitcoin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ceasefire Open Polymarket ↗	—
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old China · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Deal · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald / Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Donald / Trump · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elon / Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Elon / Musk Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Hegseth · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hezbollah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Hezbollah Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iran Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Iran · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Israel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Oil Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Oil · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
OpenAI / ChatGPT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old OpenAI / ChatGPT Open Polymarket ↗	—
Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Powell · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Russia Open Polymarket ↗	—
S&P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old S&P Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Stock Open Polymarket ↗	—
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ukraine Open Polymarket ↗	—
Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Warsh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zohran / Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Zohran / Mamdani Open Polymarket ↗	—

Anthropic / Claude

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Anthropic / Claude

Open Polymarket ↗

Artificial Intelligence / AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Artificial Intelligence / AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei

Open Polymarket ↗

Bitcoin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Bitcoin

Open Polymarket ↗

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ceasefire

Open Polymarket ↗

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

China · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Deal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Deal · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald / Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Donald / Trump · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Elon / Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Elon / Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Hegseth · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Hezbollah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Hezbollah

Open Polymarket ↗

Iran

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Iran · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Israel

Open Polymarket ↗

Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Maduro

Open Polymarket ↗

Oil

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Oil · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

OpenAI / ChatGPT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

OpenAI / ChatGPT

Open Polymarket ↗

Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Powell · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

S&P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

S&P

Open Polymarket ↗

Stock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Stock

Open Polymarket ↗

Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz

Open Polymarket ↗

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Warsh

Open Polymarket ↗

Zohran / Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Zohran / Mamdani

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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