Market comparison

What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $119K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 5, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
0.5°C to 0.9°C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% 0.5°C to 0.9°C Open Kalshi ↗	—
1.0°C to 1.4°C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% 1.0°C to 1.4°C Open Kalshi ↗	—
1.5–2.0 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 1.5–2.0 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.5°C to 1.9°C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% 1.5°C to 1.9°C Open Kalshi ↗	—
2.0–2.25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1% 2.0–2.25 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.25–2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0% 2.25–2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
At least 2.0°C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 92.0% At least 2.0°C Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below 0.5°C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Below 0.5°C Open Kalshi ↗	—
Over 2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% Over 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Under 1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Under 1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

0.5°C to 0.9°C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

0.5°C to 0.9°C

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0°C to 1.4°C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

1.0°C to 1.4°C

Open Kalshi ↗

1.5–2.0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

1.5–2.0

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.5°C to 1.9°C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0%

1.5°C to 1.9°C

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0–2.25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.1%

2.0–2.25

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.25–2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

2.25–2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

At least 2.0°C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 92.0%

At least 2.0°C

Open Kalshi ↗

Below 0.5°C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Below 0.5°C

Open Kalshi ↗

Over 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

Over 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Under 1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1%

Under 1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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