Market comparison
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $87K reported volume
Observed 3840h ago · stale
Recorded venue end date: May 17, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|
Boeing aircraft purchases Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 27.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Boeing aircraft purchases · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
Detained Americans release Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Detained Americans release · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
Fentanyl precursor crackdown Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Fentanyl precursor crackdown · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
Rare-earth export extension Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Rare-earth export extension · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
Tariff truce extension Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Tariff truce extension · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
U.S. oil purchases Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 15.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old U.S. soybean purchases · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
U.S. oil purchases Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
U.S.-China AI safety channel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old U.S.-China AI safety channel · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
U.S.-China Board of Trade Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 67.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old U.S.-China Board of Trade · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — |
Boeing aircraft purchases
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
27.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
Boeing aircraft purchases · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Detained Americans release
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
1.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
Detained Americans release · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Fentanyl precursor crackdown
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
1.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
Fentanyl precursor crackdown · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Rare-earth export extension
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
1.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
Rare-earth export extension · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Tariff truce extension
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
1.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
Tariff truce extension · closed
Open Kalshi ↗U.S. oil purchases
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
15.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
U.S. soybean purchases · closed
Open Kalshi ↗U.S. oil purchases
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
U.S.-China AI safety channel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
1.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
U.S.-China AI safety channel · closed
Open Kalshi ↗U.S.-China Board of Trade
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
67.0%stale
Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old
U.S.-China Board of Trade · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.