Market comparison

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $526K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% ↓ 30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
32% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% ↓ 32% Open Polymarket ↗	—
34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 52.0% ↓ 34% Open Polymarket ↗	—
35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 73.0% ↓ 35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.5% Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0% ↓ 36% Open Polymarket ↗	—
37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.1% Bid 81.3% · Ask 90.9% ↓ 37% Open Polymarket ↗	—
39% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 73.0% ↑ 39% Open Polymarket ↗	—
40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 55.0% ↑ 40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
41% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 43.0% ↑ 41% Open Polymarket ↗	—
42% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0% ↑ 42% Open Polymarket ↗	—
44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% ↑ 44% Open Polymarket ↗	—
46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% ↑ 46% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 37.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 37.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 43% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 6.0% Above 43% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0% Above 44% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8% Above 45% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 5.5% Above 46% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 47% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Above 47% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 48% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9% Above 48% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6% Above 49% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8% Above 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 33% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0% Below 33% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Below 34% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Below 35% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0% Below 36% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 37% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 38% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 38% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 39% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1% Below 39% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.8% Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4% Below 40% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 41% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 41% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

↓ 30%

Open Polymarket ↗

32%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

↓ 32%

Open Polymarket ↗

34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 52.0%

↓ 34%

Open Polymarket ↗

35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 73.0%

↓ 35%

Open Polymarket ↗

36%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0%

↓ 36%

Open Polymarket ↗

37%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

86.1%

Bid 81.3% · Ask 90.9%

↓ 37%

Open Polymarket ↗

39%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 73.0%

↑ 39%

Open Polymarket ↗

40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 55.0%

↑ 40%

Open Polymarket ↗

41%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 43.0%

↑ 41%

Open Polymarket ↗

42%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0%

↑ 42%

Open Polymarket ↗

44%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

↑ 44%

Open Polymarket ↗

46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

↑ 46%

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 37.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 37.4%

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi

Polymarket

30%

Kalshi

Polymarket

32%

Kalshi

Polymarket

34%

Kalshi

Polymarket

35%

Kalshi

Polymarket

36%

Kalshi

Polymarket

37%

Kalshi

Polymarket

39%

Kalshi

Polymarket

40%

Kalshi

Polymarket

41%

Kalshi

Polymarket

42%

Kalshi

Polymarket

44%

Kalshi

Polymarket

46%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 37.4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 43%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 44%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 45%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 46%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 47%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 48%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 49%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 50%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Below 33%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Below 34%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Below 35%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Below 36%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Below 37%

Kalshi