Market comparison

When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

3 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.5% Bid 40.0% · Ask 49.0% Before Jan 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 30.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 49.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 30.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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