Market comparison

When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $264K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 12s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
August 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4% August 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 59.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 69.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 3.4% · Ask 4.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

August 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4%

August 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 59.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 69.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 4.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets