Market comparison

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

2 venues · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0% Before Aug 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Feb 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0% Before Feb 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 41.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

Before Aug 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Feb 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0%

Before Feb 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 41.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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