Market comparison

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

2 venues · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before Dec 19, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0% Before Dec 19, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Mar 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0% Before Mar 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Nov 21, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Before Nov 21, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Oct 3, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 3, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Sep 25, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Sep 25, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 49.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 49.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.1% Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.9% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Before Dec 19, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Before Dec 19, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Mar 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0%

Before Mar 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 21, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Before Nov 21, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 3, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 3, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Sep 25, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 25, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 49.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 49.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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