The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $869K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before 2025

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before 2025 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.1%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.1%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 44.4% · Ask 45.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

60.1%

Bid 60.1% · Ask 63.9%

Before 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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