Market comparison

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $732K reported volume

Observed 561h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before 2027 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Jul 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before May 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before May 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Nov 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Sep 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Sep 16, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before Sep 16, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before 2027 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Jul 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before May 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before May 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Nov 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Sep 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Sep 16, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before Sep 16, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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