Market comparison

When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $447K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 77.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 71.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.6% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 77.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 71.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.6%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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