Market comparison
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗3 outcomes · $92K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗3 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 7m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
August 31, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before 2027 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
December 31, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
June 30, 2027 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
August 31, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Before 2027
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Aug 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Oct 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
December 31, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
June 30, 2027
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.