The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $49K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2040

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.2%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.3%

Bid 34.5% · Ask 40.3%

Before 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2035

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 48.3% · Ask 52.0%

Before 2035

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2040

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0%

Before 2040

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets