The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Alibaba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

Alibaba · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Amazon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

Amazon · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Anthropic

Open Polymarket ↗

Baidu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 24.0%

Baidu · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

ByteDance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

ByteDance · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

DeepSeek

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

DeepSeek · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Google

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 6.8%

Google

Open Polymarket ↗

Meituan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

Meituan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Meta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 27.0%

Meta · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Microsoft

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 24.0%

Microsoft · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mistral

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 25.0%

Mistral · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Moonshot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

Moonshot · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 8.6%

OpenAI

Open Polymarket ↗

SpaceXAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

SpaceXAI

Open Polymarket ↗

Z.ai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 24.0%

Z.ai · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.