The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Alibaba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 17.0%

Alibaba

Open Polymarket ↗

Amazon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6%

Amazon

Open Polymarket ↗

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

Anthropic

Open Polymarket ↗

Baidu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Baidu

Open Polymarket ↗

ByteDance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.6%

ByteDance

Open Polymarket ↗

DeepSeek

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7%

DeepSeek

Open Polymarket ↗

Google

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Google

Open Polymarket ↗

Meituan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.4%

Meituan

Open Polymarket ↗

Meta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 10.8%

Meta

Open Polymarket ↗

Microsoft

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.9%

Microsoft

Open Polymarket ↗

Mistral

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.1%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 14.3%

Mistral

Open Polymarket ↗

Moonshot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 4.7%

Moonshot

Open Polymarket ↗

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

OpenAI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

SpaceXAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.4%

SpaceXAI

Open Polymarket ↗

Z.ai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9%

Z.ai

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.