Market comparison

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

8 outcomes · $193K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Audias Flores-Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 98.9% Audias Flores-Silva · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.7% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.4% Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 13.7% · Ask 18.3% Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez Open Polymarket ↗	—
Juan Pablo Ledezma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Juan Pablo Ledezma Open Polymarket ↗	—
Juan Reyes Mejía González Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Juan Reyes Mejía González Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Ricardo Ruiz Velasco Open Polymarket ↗	—

Audias Flores-Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 98.9%

Audias Flores-Silva · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.7%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.4%

Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan

Open Polymarket ↗

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 13.7% · Ask 18.3%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

Open Polymarket ↗

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

Open Polymarket ↗

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez

Open Polymarket ↗

Juan Pablo Ledezma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

Open Polymarket ↗

Juan Reyes Mejía González

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Juan Reyes Mejía González

Open Polymarket ↗

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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