Market comparison

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

1 venue · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

18 outcomes · $66K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 8, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Labour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Labour Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.3% Bid 26.2% · Ask 30.4% Labour + Green Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Labour + Green + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1% Labour + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4% Labour + Green + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% National + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Labour + Maori + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Labour + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% National + NZF + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—
National Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% National Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + ACT + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 42.0% National + ACT + NZF Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + ACT + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7% National + ACT Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + ACT + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% National + ACT + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + ACT + NZF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% National + ACT + NZF + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + Labour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% National + Labour Open Polymarket ↗	—
National + Maori Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% National + Maori Open Polymarket ↗	—

Labour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Labour

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.3%

Bid 26.2% · Ask 30.4%

Labour + Green

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Labour + Green + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1%

Labour + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4%

Labour + Green + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

National + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Labour + Maori + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Labour + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

National + NZF + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

National

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

National

Open Polymarket ↗

National + ACT + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 42.0%

National + ACT + NZF

Open Polymarket ↗

National + ACT + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7%

National + ACT

Open Polymarket ↗

National + ACT + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

National + ACT + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

National + ACT + NZF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

National + ACT + NZF + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

National + Labour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

National + Labour

Open Polymarket ↗

National + Maori

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

National + Maori

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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