Market comparison

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q1 of 2026?

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

8 outcomes · $776K reported volume

Observed 4948h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q1 of 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Affirm Holdings Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Affirm Holdings · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alnylam Pharmaceuticals · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ares Management Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ares Management · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ciena Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ciena · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pure Storage Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pure Storage · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
SoFi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old SoFi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Strategy (MicroStrategy) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Strategy (MicroStrategy) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vertiv Holdings Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Vertiv Holdings · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Affirm Holdings

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Affirm Holdings · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ares Management

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ares Management · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ciena

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ciena · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pure Storage

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pure Storage · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

SoFi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

SoFi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Strategy (MicroStrategy)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Strategy (MicroStrategy) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Vertiv Holdings

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Vertiv Holdings · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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